Polkadot Faces Critical Juncture: Will DOT Drop to $5.542 or Surge to $6.649?

• Polkadot’s price dropped by nearly 10% last week due to overall market volatility and Bitcoin’s influence.

• Analysts predict a potential price surge for Polkadot, citing recent support level dynamics.

Polkadot [DOT] has seen a significant price decline over the past week, reflecting a broader trend among altcoins. As of the latest data, DOT’s price increased by 1.69% to $5.76, with a market capitalization of $8.4 billion, according to CNF Marketplace. The decline is attributed to external market forces, including the volatility of Bitcoin (BTC), which has had a cascading effect on altcoin prices.

Despite the downward trend, some crypto analysts remain optimistic about Polkadot’s future price movements. A prominent pseudonymous analyst known as Crypto Thanos has predicted an upcoming surge in DOT’s price. He noted that DOT had flushed previous support levels from March and November 2023, which he believes positions it for a bullish move in the near future. According to Thanos, the dips in DOT’s price are expected to vanish soon, and the cryptocurrency will start respecting its lower support levels, potentially beginning an uptrend.

https://twitter.com/CryptoThannos/status/1803459838082793759

Additionally, another analyst, Rekt Frencer, shared a positive outlook on the platform’s future on social media. Frencer highlighted Polkadot’s recent ventures into artificial intelligence (AI) as a significant factor in its potential price increase. He mentioned that projects like OriginTrail and Phala Network are leveraging Polkadot’s technology for AI applications, which could establish Polkadot as a central hub for AI projects if the trend continues.

$DOT recently entered the AI race.

Projects like @origin_trail and @PhalaNetwork are already leveraging Polkadot tech for AI.

If this trend continues, Polkadot could become the go-to hub for AI projects.

And we all know how AI-related coins perform in this market https://t.co/ojqpBvQSPQ pic.twitter.com/V8GiVicyvC

— Rekt Fencer (@rektfencer) June 20, 2024

Technical Indicators Signal Bearish Sentiment

Despite the optimistic projections from some analysts, technical indicators present a more cautious picture. DOT breached a critical support level of around $6 on June 18th and 19th, falling to a low of $5.505. Currently, DOT is attempting to reclaim this support level as a new resistance level at around $6, with an aim to establish a higher resistance level near $7.3 if successful.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for DOT stands at 34, indicating a bearish market sentiment. The RSI’s movement towards the oversold zone, coupled with crossing the RSI-based moving average from above, suggests increased selling pressure, which has driven prices down further.

Data from Coinglass shows a declining funding rate for DOT, which went negative on June 18th and 19th. A declining funding rate typically indicates investors’ reluctance to open long positions, contributing to a neutral market stance. Similarly, data from Santiment indicates a decline in open interest for DOT since June 8th, suggesting that traders are closing existing positions rather than initiating new ones due to the price decline.

Continued Downside with Potential for Rebound

The market indicators point towards a continued bearish trend for Polkadot in the short term. The persistent negative funding rates and reduced open interest suggest a strong bearish sentiment, which could lead to further price declines. DOT’s price could potentially fall to its previous low of $5.542 if the current trend continues.

However, there remains a possibility for a rebound if there is a significant increase in buying pressure. Should this occur, DOT could experience a surge to around $6.649. The upcoming weeks will be critical in determining whether the optimistic projections from analysts like Crypto Thanos and Rekt Frencer will materialize, or if the bearish technical indicators will prevail in the short term.