Is Bitcoin’s Bottom In? New Whales and ETFs Suggest Bullish Signals

• Bitcoin price has a dynamic outlook that suggests a bottom has been set.
• Bitcoin’s halving impact and ETF adoption remain key indicators to watch.

The price of Bitcoin (BTC) might have hit a local bottom as top analysts suggest riding on the current profitability of short-term institutional whales. It is worth noting that selling pressure is inspired by many factors including market sentiments, macroeconomic factors as highlighted in previous reports by Crypto News Flash, whale activity, and regulatory policies.

Bitcoin’s Performance and Market Sentiments

Given the prevailing fluctuations in Bitcoin price shortly after the halving event, recent data suggests market sentiments and whale activity are pivotal to the trajectory seen on the world’s largest cryptocurrency. With short-term Bitcoin whales holding relatively modest unrealized profits compared to long-term holders, market watchers ponder whether the recent dip below $60,000 marks the local bottom for Bitcoin’s price.

In February, with massive liquidation from the crypto derivatives market, many analysts speculated $40,000 as the bottom for Bitcoin in an earlier recapitulation of from Crypto News Flash. This prediction did not materialize though as market sentiment kept the price bullish despite volatility.

As per unrealized profit, institutional investors and holders of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are currently showing minimal unrealized profits. The implication is that selling pressure in the short term is almost nonexistent.

Analysis by CryptoQuant reveals that short-term Bitcoin whales, holding at least 1,000 BTC for up to 155 days, have unrealized profits of just 1.6% on their holdings. This is in contrast to long-term holders, known as old whales, with holdings of at least 1,000 BTC for over 155 days. These boast an unrealized profit of 223% which suggests a stronger conviction in their positions.

Although Bitcoin’s price temporarily dipped below $60,000 before rebounding, technical analysts are pointing to the formation of a potential “double bottom” pattern as indicative of a possible reversal in the downtrend. Market sentiment remains neutral as the relative strength index (RSI), has reset from overbought levels.

Technical Analysis of Bitcoin Price Projection

Speaking on the development, Arthur Cheong, founder of DeFiance Capital, suggests that the recent pullback could have marked the local bottom for Bitcoin’s price. He predicted that any further movement would be on the upside.

Very high chance that was the local bottom.

— Arthur (@Arthur_0x) April 19, 2024

Popular crypto trader Satoshi Flipper shares similar sentiment as according to his analysis, a breakout from a significant channel on the four-hour chart indicates a potential target of $72,000.

However, the surge in institutional net inflows from U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs turned negative in the week leading up to the halving event. Denis Petrovcic, CEO and founder of Blocksquare, however, remains optimistic. This position suggests that with sustained institutional interest and the reduced block rewards post-halving, Bitcoin’s price stability or even a slightly bullish trend will be seen. 

As Bitcoin’s market dynamics continue to move fluidly to impact price based on the interplay between institutional activity, technical indicators, and macroeconomic factors, market participants remain vigilant, assessing both short-term trends and long-term positions to stay green despite the volatility of the cryptocurrency market.

At the time of writing, Bitcoin’s price is changing hands for $63,875.60, down by 1.31% in 24 hours per Marketcap data.