High-Frequency Trading Algorithms Improve Efficiency but Risk Market Stability

High-frequency trading (HFT) algorithms optimize market efficiency by exploiting price changes and increasing liquidity. However, their uniform strategies can reduce diversity and amplify volatility, as seen in events like the 2010 flash crash. Regulation efforts aim to mitigate these risks.

Dec 19, 2024 - 17:15
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High-Frequency Trading Algorithms Improve Efficiency but Risk Market Stability

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:::tip This is Part 4 of a 12-part series based on the research paper Human-Machine Social Systems.” Use the table of links below to navigate to the next part.

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Table of Links

Abstract and Introduction

Human-machine interactions

Collective outcomes

Box 1: Competition in high-frequency trading markets

Box 2: Contagion on Twitter

Box 3: Cooperation and coordination on Wikipedia

Box 4: Cooperation and contagion on Reddit

Discussion

Implications for research

Implications for design

Implications for policy

Conclusion, Acknowledgments, References, and Competing interests

Box 1: Competition in High-frequency Trading Markets

High-frequency trading (HFT) algorithms constitute automated scripts that rely on high-speed, large-volume transactions to exploit mispricings or market signals before they disappear or are incorporated into the price [166]. The phenomenon started in the mid-90s and has since spread to dominate foreign equities, foreign exchange, commodities, futures, and stock markets globally [117].

\ HFT algorithms process large amounts of trade history data and current news to make decisions and are thus considered the better “informed” traders [167]. Some of the algorithms appear to anticipate the market, and their trades consistently predict future order flow by human traders [168]. However, since most algorithms react similarly to the same public information, they exhibit less diverse trading strategies and more correlated actions among themselves compared to humans [169]. Thus, although their behavior generally improves market efficiency, it can also trigger behavioral cascades and instability [170].

\ HFT algorithms generally act as market makers, increasing trading opportunities, reducing transaction costs, connecting buyers and sellers across venues, and submitting significant volumes of price quotes [171,117]. They facilitate price efficiency by trading in the direction of permanent price changes but opposite temporary price errors [167]. This regularly acts as a stabilizing force, reducing short-term volatility [169,172,166]. On a longer time scale, however, HFT algorithms may decease market quality by increasing volatility [173] and uncertainty [37], and by reducing trading strategy diversity [174]. For instance, although the algorithms did not cause the 2010 flash crash, they exacerbated it by amplifying the volatility [175]. This has led to recent efforts to regulate the speed of trading in markets, for example, by processing trades in batches at slower intervals to diminish the advantage that HFT algorithms have [176].

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:::info Authors:

(1) Milena Tsvetkova, Department of Methodology, London School of Economics and Political Science, London, United Kingdom;

(2) Taha Yasseri, School of Sociology, University College Dublin, Dublin, Ireland and Geary Institute for Public Policy, University College Dublin, Dublin, Ireland;

(3) Niccolo Pescetelli, Collective Intelligence Lab, New Jersey Institute of Technology, Newark, New Jersey, USA;

(4) Tobias Werner, Center for Humans and Machines, Max Planck Institute for Human Development, Berlin, Germany.

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:::info This paper is available on arxiv under CC BY 4.0 DEED license.

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